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Looking for a "safe" investment? You may like this!   [Posted on: 06/28/2013 ]
Banking problems around the world are causing investors to literally look for "safe" investments! A Spanish manufacturer has taken this idea to a comfortable conclusion. Enjoy!
Headwinds for bonds in the coming decade   [Posted on: 06/24/2013 ]
Total return in US bonds since December 1999 as measured by the Barclay's Aggregate Index (at an annualized rate of 6.02% - including coupon) trounced the total return in stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 (at an annualized rate of 2.70% - including dividends). However, this streak of out performance by bonds (un-precedented in history) is about to end.
Federal Reserve Confirms Moderation of its Ultra Liberal Monetary Policy   [Posted on: 06/20/2013 ]
Chairman Bernanke of The United States Federal Reserve System has confirmed on June 19th 2013 that the Fed intends to pursue a path of slow but steady elimination of its ultra liberal monetary policy that it put in place since March 2009. The equity and bond markets that were addicted to the cheap money that was supplied to them - reacted sharply via a worldwide sell off of financial assets and commodities including gold.
Federal Reserve Paring its Stimulus Program?   [Posted on: 06/19/2013 ]
The US Federal Reserve System has provided unprecedented monetary stimulus to the US economy since March 2009. However, it may be initiating a process of slowly reducing (and eventually eliminating) this ultra-liberal liquidity support. Equity and bond markets are quite nervous about this reversal of policy.
Bond Guru Bill Gross raises US growth rate forecast for 2013   [Posted on: 03/08/2013 ]
Bill Gross, Manager of the world's largest bond fund, and a proponent of "new normal" growth rate of 2.0% or less for the US economy due to strucutural inefficiencies etc, has changed his forecast today to 3.0% for 2013. This is a huge change in Bill's previously stated position. Please listen to this Bloomberg audio file for Bill's comments.
Should you jump into the markets now?   [Posted on: 03/07/2013 ]
Not withstanding stock markets making new highes (as measured by the Dow Jones Index) some question the valuation of the equities at this time. If you are a long term investor, with capital preservation and total return objectives, this sagely advise is for you!
US GDP barely grows in 4th quarter 2012   [Posted on: 03/01/2013 ]
In spite of historic ultra-liberal monetary policy of the US federal reserve since 2009 and continued deficit spending of the Obama administration, US economy is barely showing signs of a robust recovery, as evidenced by the 4th quarter GDP report. For the full year 2012, US GDP growth rate is estimated at a modest 2.2% - which considered low for this stage of a post - recession economic recovery.
Five year inflation rate falls to a 45 year low (back to 1967) - this is historic!   [Posted on: 03/01/2013 ]
Enjoy the low inflation bliss while it lasts! The five year moving average compounded rates of inflation fell to a 45 year low in 2012 - all the way back to the Vietnam War days and the Johnson Administration in the White House.
Unsustainable entitlement spending threatens social security benefits in the long-term   [Posted on: 03/01/2013 ]
Fiscal prudence and common sense thinking are rare to come by these days either in the federal budget talks or in the ongoing spending for entitlements in Washington DC. Some argue that we are heading towards yet another debt crisis along the lines of Europe in the coming years. Drukenmiller has been in the forefront of capital markets for the past three decades, and is a voice worth listening to.
Inflation remains tame!   [Posted on: 02/27/2013 ]
One of the concerns in the financial markets at this time is that the ultra-liberal monetary policies of the US Federal Reserve and the massive budget deficits of the US government could eventually lead to inflation. However, inflation seems to be well under control at this time (under the Fed's stated target of 2.0% or less). It is hard to predict at this time how, if and when this benign scenario of inflation could change.
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